Ukraine

World War III? Putin’s Gamble and the West’s Provocations

Putin just raised the nuclear threat on Sunday after some incredible financial sanctions by the West. What is the world hurling towards? World War 3 or just mad posturing by both sides to see who blinks first? Let’s analyze the volatile situation in Ukraine.

Russia invaded Ukraine four days ago and is now on the verge of entering and capturing Kiev (Kyiv), the capital. If that was shocking, the West’s actions over the last 24 hours have been even more shocking. Rather than negotiating peace, the West upped the ante by implementing unthinkable sanctions and moves.

First, the West cut off many Russian banks from SWIFT, the global financial/payment system. Without that, Russian banks will be practically cut off from the world — the only hope being using China’s system, which is not quite mature yet.

Second, and more jarring, was freezing Russian central bank’s foreign exchange reserves — about $300 billion in dollars and Euros. This is just pure theft. Also, this allows Wall Street and London financiers to attack the Russian currency, Ruble, which will likely lose 50-80% of its value on Monday. This will lead to serious inflation and partial collapse of the Russian economy.

What is perplexing is that Europe is not considering the possibility that Putin can cut off all oil and natural gas supplies to Europe. Even is that’s done for a few weeks, the impact will be enormous. Germany relies on Russia for 60% of its energy supplies. Other countries like Austria depend almost entirely on Russia.

All this for Ukraine? Insanity.

Why is Ukraine so important? After all, it’s a poor country with a GDP-per-capita of $3700 — or, about $10 a day. The bottom line here is about Ukraine’s neutrality — if it’s going to join NATO or stay as a neutral buffer between Russia and Europe.

Forgetting the lessons of WW1 and WW2, Europeans are jumping into this conflict. European countries — including Germany — have now said they will supply weapons and even fighter jets to Ukraine; and they have closed their airspace to all Russian civilian planes.

The U.S. doesn’t have much to lose. If Europe and Russia get into wars, it will be just good news for America’s geopolitical ambitions. Divide and Rule. Europe will become weaker, which means stronger dollar and more power for the U.S. After all, this is how the U.S. came to dominate Europe, which destroyed itself twice in WW1 and WW2.

NATO Expansion

In 1990, there were 10 European countries in NATO, which was originally created to protect Europe from the USSR. This relic of Cold War could have been disabled when the Soviet Union collapsed.

In fact,declassified documents of the U.S. National Archives show that the U.S. and European leaders promised in 1990 that NATO would move “not one inch eastward” after the USSR was dismantled. So, what happened?

In 1999 — when Russia was totally pro-US and was run by Yeltsin and other US puppets — NATO added three new countries: Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic. In 2004, NATO added 9 more countries; then two more in 2020.

Rather than befriending Russia and bringing it into the West’s sphere, the West kept treating Russia like an enemy. In 2002, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) treat with Russia. In 2019 and 2020, the U.S. withdrew from the intermediate and long-range treaty as well as the Open Skies Treaty.

The powers-that-be just want Cold War 2.0. From a practical point of view, the West should be making friends with Russia in order to isolate China, which is the real geopolitical, economic, and technology competitor.

But it looks like the globalists want a formidable war: EU + USA against Russia + China.

Ukraine, the Geopolitical Pawn

Ukraine has always been a strategic target for the West and an asset for Russia. Throughout the Cold War, the CIA funded nationalists and Neo-Nazi groups in Ukraine — as in Project Aerodynamic. In the 1990s, Brzezinski — mastermind of the Mujahedeen in Afghanistan — said that stealing Ukraine from Russia would mean essentially decapitating Russia. He suggested that Ukraine should be added to NATO by 2010.

Thus, the U.S. (through George Soros and the State Department) instigated a color revolution in 2004 (“Orange Revolution”) to overthrow the election of a pro-Russia President in Ukraine. He came back after a few years and won another election in 2010. Carl Gershman, the founder of the National Endowment of Democracy (NED) — a CIA front group — wrote in 2013 that “Ukraine is the biggest prize.” Of course, the U.S. orchestrated another coup in Feb 2014 and took over Ukraine.

Putin’s Gamble and Mistake

For Putin, there was just no way that he could allow Ukraine to become a part of NATO. It would mean U.S. missiles within 300 miles from Moscow. That would be like Mexico allowing Chinese missiles and Russian military.

So, what happens next? There are several possibilities:

  1. Russia and Ukraine negotiate a peaceful solution. And Ukraine promises to be neutral and not join NATO. This will end the crisis within a few days or weeks.
  2. Putin takes over Ukraine, does a regime change, and tries to create a new Ukraine. This will be a long drama, since the U.S. and Europe will be doing their best to sabotage a stable Ukraine.
  3. Russia shuts off all oil/gas to Europe and perhaps even goes to war against some European countries in retaliation for sanctions. All hell breaks loose.

Russia’s problem is that it lacks financial and soft power like the West. America and Europe control the world financial systems, world media, and most world politicians.

However, the U.S. may be engaging in a long-term faux pas. The extreme financial sanctions against Russia will only accelerate the creation of an alternate system outside the Western hegemony. China, Russia, Iran and others will double their efforts to free themselves from the clutches of the West by creating a new financial system (with digital currency) and by investing in more formidable weapons.

Thus, 2022 will be the beginning of the demise of … Russia or the American Century.