I have not gotten the COVID19 vaccines … yet. With all the mandates and restrictions, I am sure I will get it soon. By the way, I am not ideologically against vaccines. There are two reasons I haven’t gotten the vaccines so far: (1) My health profile and personal experience, and (2) Data-based analysis of risks and benefits.
I was in China During Wuhan Outbreak
Yes, I was traveling in China in Dec 2019 when the coronavirus outbreak happened in Wuhan. I didn’t know at that time, obviously. However, in my last stop in Beijing, I was exposed to sick people every day. It was a scary experience to be stuck in taxicabs with drivers who kept coughing, especially without covering their mouths! Miraculously, I didn’t get sick during or after my vacation in China.
Then, I survived the entire the year of 2020 without any sickness — not even cold-like symptoms. Thus, when the vaccines appeared, I was in no rush. Before I knew, 2021 was coming to an end, and I had survived another year without getting sick.
So, this is the first reason why I am still unvaccinated for covid.
Data, Data, Data
Second, all the data since the outbreak has unlocked several fascinating aspects of the SARS-Cov-2 virus and discouraging facts about the solutions. Data is the best way to seek the truth and be objective. Let’s take a look.
“COVID is Mild” – Mayo Clinic
“MOST people who become sick with COVID-19 will only experience mild illness and can recover at home” — the prestigious Mayo Clinic. In fact, this is true for 4 out of 5 people for the general population.
UC Davis Medical Center says that 95% of those who test positive for COVID19 can recover on their own at home.
In Pfizer’s own trial, only 0.04% of the unvaccinated got severe COVID. That was 9 people out of 21,000.
Low Case Fatality Rate: Less than 2%
The case fatality rate (CFR) for COVID-19 is about 1.6%. In other words, if 100 people catch the virus, 98.4% will survive. Moreover, the deaths are primarily among senior citizens.
CDC’s estimate is that the hospitalization rate for covid is about 5%. That is 7.5 million hospitalization out of 146 million cases.
Natural Immunity Can beat Vaccines: CDC Study
As a recent CDC study on the delta variant showed, natural immunity from infection provided much more robust protection than vaccines in terms of infection, hospitalization and deaths. In some states, the results were astonishing — immunity from infection reduced the risk of hospitalization six-fold and deaths by 28-fold.
Vaccine Efficacy in Reducing Positive Cases
More than 200 million Americans have been “fully vaccinated” by Dec 2021. However, the number of daily cases of COVID-19 today is far greater than in late 2020, when no American was vaccinated.
The US doesn’t show the vaccination status of COVID19 cases. Fortunately, Canada does. And “fully vaccinated” people are 4X the unvaccinated among the new cases. Vaccines are not being effective.
Do Vaccinated People Spread the Virus?
Many social media censor facts about vaccinated people spreading the virus, even though this is obvious by epidemiology and public policies (such as restrictions on vaccinated people). Moderna’s CEO recently admitted that even the triple-vaccinated are likely to transmit the disease.
Who is in Danger? Pandemic of the Old and the Sick
From the beginning, it was obvious to me that older people were at much higher risk. As I analyzed the very first data from Wuhan or the first big outbreak in New York City, it was obvious that about 80% of the deaths happened among senior citizens — here is my blog post on NYC data from March 2020 and here’s the one on Wuhan data from Jan 2020.
Fast forward two years and the data still remains almost identical. Here’s the CDC data for covid death by age group, as of Dec 15. People above the age of 65 still constitute 75% of covid deaths. Basically, nothing has changed in this aspect in two years.
More fascinatingly, mortality from COVID is directly proportional to age. Here’s a more granular chart from CDC data on covid death by age group:
From the same CDC data, you can create a pie chart, which shows how 93% of covid deaths happen in people above the age of 50. Children (0-17) do not account for even 0.1% of the deaths. People above the age of 50 account for whopping 96% of deaths.
Second, several studies have now shown that people with chronic diseases like diabetes and hypertension are 6x more likely to be hospitalized and 12x more likely to die from COVID-19. The CDC Director admitted that 75% of those who died from COVID had 4 or more comorbidity — like diabetes, obesity, hypertension etc.
Since I am not old and I don’t have chronic diseases, I felt statistically safe.
While the media likes to call it the “pandemic of the unvaccinated”, it might be more accurate to call it the “pandemic of the old and the sick.”
How about Hospitalization by Age?
Wait, okay, younger people are not dying, but how about hospitalization? Here’s a chart from CDC that shows that older people (age 65+) have made up about 40-50% of those hospitalized due to COVID since the pandemic began.
More Vaccination = Fewer Deaths and Hospitalizations?
Compare old people (highly vaccinated) to children (unvaccinated until late 2021):
- Covid death rate for vaccinated and unvaccinated people aged 65+ (per million): 10,000
- Covid death rate for unvaccinated kids 5-11 (per million): 3.6
That is, older people are 2,500 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than unvaccinated kids age 5-11. Shocking, isn’t it?
For all kids (under the age of 18), the death rate is 9 per million. That means, senior citizens are 1000x more likely to die from COVID than kids, although the latter group is only about 50% vaccinated.
Similarly, we can compare Western countries to Africa. The vaccination rates are 72% and 13% respectively. Yet, COVID-19 deaths (per million population) in the U.S. and Europe are 12-14x more than in Africa.
Obviously, more vaccination is not helping certain groups and countries.
Vaccination Status and Hospitalization
Mainstream media often blames the unvaccinated for the strains on hospitals. However, the reality is more nuanced. For example, in Dec 2021, more than half of those hospitalized in the UK were fully vaccinated (two doses):
Vaccination Status and Deaths
In the same UK report (page 38), the vaccinated outnumbered the unvaccinated by a factor 3 to 1 in COVID-related deaths.
Are Vaccines and Other Measures Working ?
Go back to January 2021. Did anyone say that we would need more than one vaccine? The official narrative was that vaccines were 90-96% effective. In fine prints, they said it means effective in preventing mild/moderate symptoms. Later, a CDC study said that one vaccine was 81% effective in preventing infections and two vaccines were 91% effective in preventing infections.
However, reality has been very different. “Breakthrough” infections are making a mockery out of vaccines. People who are vaccinated once, twice, and thrice are getting infected and sick. At Cornell University, where 97% are vaccinated, 900 vaccinated people tested positive in Dec 2021, and the campus had to be shut down. Sports franchises like NBA, NHL, and NFL are almost 100% vaccinated but experience covid outbreaks and are even forced to cancel games.
Cities like New York and London are coming to a grinding halt due to the omicron variant although 90% of adults are vaccinated. Many Western countries — UK, Australia, France, Austria etc. — are shutting down bars, restaurants, and major venues where only vaccinated people are allowed to get in (enforced by “vaccine passports”). So much confidence in vaccines!
Thus, the covid vaccines are “leaky” and the vaccinated are getting infected, getting sick, and spreading the virus.
False Marketing Claims
In Dec 2020, Pfizer published the results of its Phase 3 mRNA vaccine trial in the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM). In that paper, Pfizer claimed that not one vaccinated person died from either COVID-19 or the vaccine. Pfizer also claimed that only 1 person out of the 21,000 vaccinated people experienced “severe COVID-19.” The word “variant” appears nowhere in the paper.
Immediately, the mainstream media jumped on it and told the world that covid vaccines are 100% effective in preventing hospitalization and deaths! That is, the claim was that nobody who gets the vaccine will die or even get hospitalized. Rachel Maddow — the #1 cable news host with 3 million daily followers — told her audience this: “The covid virus stops with every vaccinated person. The virus does not infect them. The virus cannot use a vaccinated person as a host to get more people.”
Here’s how those in power sold the vaccines to Americans and the world:
- “Vaccinated people do not carry the virus or get sick” — CDC Director Rochelle Walensky.
- “Vaccinated people won’t get infected” — Anthony Fauci.
- “If you’re vaccinated, you’re not going to be hospitalized, you’re not going to be in an ICU unit, and you’re not going to die” — President Biden.
In April 2021, Pfizer’s Chairman/CEO tweeted that vaccines were 100% effective in preventing covid. In other words, not a single vaccinated person would even get infected — let alone get sick or die.
Bold marketing baloney that the masses believed. Real life turned out to be different. Vaccinated people got severe COVID, got hospitalized, and even died. And it has not been rare.
In Jan 2022, Pfizer’s CEO admitted the vaccine failure when he said, “Two doses of vaccines offer very limited protection, IF ANY. Three doses offer reasonable protection against hospitalization and death.” Twitter then banned the video clip, claiming copyright violation! (Twitter’s censorship department is run by Reuters. And Reuter’s CEO, James Smith, has been on Pfizer’s board of directors since 2014).
Changing Goal Posts
Also, we were once told that we would reach herd immunity with 70% vaccination rate, which the U.S. reached in August 2021. Now the goal posts have shifted to almost 100%.
Think of all the extraordinary measures we have taken to fight the virus — “flattening the curve” by staying at home for a few weeks, lockdowns, washing hands, social distancing, mandatory masks, working from home, studying from home, billions of PCR/antibody tests, shutting down restaurants, contact tracing, travel ban, not seeing friends and families … the list goes on.
Then, one vaccine was proposed as the panacea for life going back to normal. Soon, it became two vaccines. Then three. And now Pfizer CEO promises us that the fourth vaccine will stop omicron.
No other vaccine in history has failed like this. And with all these draconian measures, more Americans and Europeans have died in 2021 than in 2020.
Consider that South Africa has had omicron for six weeks and their death cases are the lowest since the pandemic began. And even Bloomberg admits that mortality rate of omnicron is one-tenth that of the delta variant.
However, Western countries are engulfed in extreme fear. The White House has warned that the “unvaccinated will face a winter of severe illness and death.” Countries all over Europe are locking down entire nations. Talk about hyperbole and overreaction. The only answer in the West is more vaccines, more restrictions and canceling Christmas.
Transparency and Vaccine Side Effects
Although, personally, I am not worried about the side effects of vaccines, these covid vaccines definitely have far more side effects and deaths than other vaccines. The CDC has a website called Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), where newly vaccinated people can report the side effects. Anyone can search the database. There is another site, Open VAERS, that collects the data and presents it in a consumable form. Here’s the historical chart on vaccine-induced deaths reported in VAERS. Look at the spike in deaths in the last year. This is statistically shocking.
(Note that most people don’t report the vaccine side-effects to the VAERS database. Thus the real number can be 10x higher).
In the European Union, more than 500,000 adverse reactions have been reported for covid vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna.
It’s also annoying that the FDA took only 108 days to approve the Pfizer vaccine but needs 55 years to disclose the data to scientists, doctors and the public. According to the group suing the FDA, “It is dystopian for the government to give Pfizer billions, mandate Americans to take its product, prohibit Americans from suing for harm, but yet refuse to let Americans see the data underlying its license.”
The fact that former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb sits on the board of directors of Pfizer is also appalling. The conflict of interest and the revolving door is terrible for American democracy and health.
As of October 2021, 100 American kids aged 5-11 had died from COVID19. There are 28 million kids in that age group, which translates to 3.6 deaths per million. Is that an alarming rate? Let’s compare that to other rates — COVID deaths in all kids, myocarditis in ages 12-24, and deaths due to COVID vaccines (as reported in VAERS).
(For those curious, the math for this chart is at the end of this blog post).
Thus, considering all the data about children we have seen so far, vaccinating them is not logical or efficacious.
Two reasons why mRNA vaccines are failing
An ideal vaccine is supposed to do three things: (1) Prevent infection (2) Prevent disease (symptoms) and (3) Prevent transmission.
None of those things is happening. Why?
First, the mRNA vaccines are too specific, focused on one or two major proteins in the virus. Thus, mutations make the vaccine ineffective. And there have been thousands of mutations so far. This is why the traditional way of vaccinating using weakened viruses is better. When the immune system meets complete viruses, it extracts as many unique proteins as possible and makes numerous antibodies, each specific to a protein (or, peptide, to be precise).
Second, vaccines don’t offer “mucosal immunity” and thus do not cause the body to make mucosal antibody known as the IgA — Immunoglobulin A. You see, when a person gets infected with the SARS-Cov-2 (or any respiratory bacteria/virus), the virus enters the body through the nose and lands in the lungs. Thus, the body soon produces antibodies in the mucous membrane in our respiratory tract.
This antibody, IgA, is the first line of defense for future infections. As this scientific paper says, “IgA is in fact the most important immunoglobulin to fight infectious pathogen in respiratory system at the point of pathogen entry. As an immune barrier, secretory IgA can neutralize SARS-CoV-2 before they reach and bind the epithelial cells.”
However, this crucial secretory antibody is not triggered by the vaccines, which are injected and only stimulate the production of blood-based antibodies like IgG and IgM. Thus, when a vaccinated person comes across the covid virus, he/she does not have the most important antibody, IgA, which could stop the virus on its track. (Watch a video about natural immunity from Kim Iverson, a mainstream media anchor, at the bottom of this blog).
Here’s a short clip from a video by Dr. John Campbell, who has a lot of YouTube videos on COVID. He basically says the same thing about the role of IgA and natural infection that I explained before:
A recent study from a medical school in the U.S. concluded that “people who have had mild illness [COVID-19] develop antibody-producing cells that can last lifetime.” Not surprising at all.
Are mRNA vaccines a form of cell/gene therapy?
Pfizer looks a lot like Monsanto now. After messing with plants’ genes with GMO, it looks like the elites are playing with human genes. At the World Health Summit 2021, Bayer executive Stefan Oelrich was a keynote speaker. He described mRNA vaccines as gene therapy and said that before the pandemic, this technology would have been rejected by 95% of the people. The shock-and-awe of the pandemic has obliterated pertinent discussions about the mRNA vaccines. And all the social media like Twitter, Facebook and YouTube have been actively censoring free speech and a lot of truth.
Insanity is doing the same thing and expecting different results. Big Pharma is a guy with a hammer and sees every problem as a nail. Pfizer’s CEO now says that the pandemic could last until 2024. Of course, the thought of billions of dollars is destroying his brain cells.
The narrative is brute force — to vaccinate our way out of this problem. It has not worked and won’t work.
We need to implement a multidimensional and data-based strategy:
- Focus on therapeutic and outpatient treatments, especially for people aged 50 and above. They constitute 70% of hospitalized patients. Use off-label antivirals, anti-inflammatory drugs, and prophylactics to prevent and treat COVID. American doctors prescribe almost 1 billion off-label prescriptions every year, but somehow the FDA is preventing doctors from repurposing existing drugs for COVID-19. For two years, we didn’t have a single approved drug or protocol to treat COVID-19. The only suggestion is “go home and wait until you can’t breathe and then call 911.” Really! That’s the official advice from CDC (and all hospitals). No wonder that so many people have died.
- Stop vaccinating kids and, in fact, all young adults (age 18-30) as well. Young people are 38% of the US population but make up less than 4% of COVID deaths. Natural infection of this group will quickly help us achieve herd immunity as a society.
- Also, stop vaccinating people who have already been infected and have recovered from COVID-19. Their natural immunity will be far better than anything that the vaccines can offer.
- And stop being obsessed with high levels of antibodies in the blood. That’s not how biology works. The body has “memory B cells” that will produce antibodies only when the virus is detected. Forcing the body to constantly produce antibodies might lead to autoimmune diseases.
- The only ones who should be vaccinated from now on are those with certain chronic diseases that make them vulnerable to covid.
- Stop testing people who have no symptoms. This creates mass psychosis.
- Return to normalcy ASAP.
So, going back to the title of this post, if we have a vaccine that truly protects people from infection, symptoms, and transmission, I would get it in a jiffy. I would like to see vaccinated people lead a normal life and not be afraid of the unvaccinated. Also, it would help if hospitalizations and deaths from COVID19 plunge and there is a veritable “booster” of confidence.
Update: New data shows how vaccines are starting to have negative efficiency — i.e., fully vaccinated people are becoming more vulnerable than unvaccinated people. See my blog post: Worst. Vaccines. Ever
– – Chris Kanthan
Math for those interested: (The rate was calculated for each group. For example, there are 72 million kids under the age of 18 and there have been 655 covid deaths. So the rate is 655/72 = 9 per million. And CDC reported 1908 cases of myocarditis and pericarditis after mRNA vaccines among Americans age 12-24. There are 46 million people in this group and 65%, or 31 million, have gotten vaccinated; so the rate is 1908/31 = 61 per million). In the same report, CDC admitted 10,483 cases of COVID vaccine-induced deaths from VAERS. Since 200 million Americans have been vaccinated, the death rate is 10483/200 = 50 per million).
Video on Natural Immunity